Dividend Irrelevance Theory

  

Theory doesn’t always align with reality...which is why we call theories “theories.” That’s the case for dividend irrelevance theory fo sho.

Dividend irrelevance theory says that, in theory, a company’s dividend policy shouldn’t affect a company’s stock price/value at all, since investors can respond to what’s happening with dividends (going up or down) accordingly. These two guys argued that shareholders aren’t, like, “locked in.” For instance, if dividends go up, investors can just reinvest that money, and if dividends go down, investors can just sell some of their shares, using that money elsewhere to get the money they planned on getting from the dividend.

Basically, they argue that dividends don’t add value, because investors can put that money elsewhere...where it’d also be making money.

Yet, there have been a lot of super-academic studies on this, and they show that dividends do indeed increase the price of stocks, especially for high-end blue chip stocks. So...it seems like dividends are perceived by investors as icing on top, even though they could get their icing elsewhere with that same money...in theory.

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Finance: What is an Accumulated Dividend...9 Views

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finance a la shmoop what is an accumulated dividend okay you know what

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a dividend is companies generally commit to paying it when they have so much [Example of dividend meaning on a 100 dollar bill]

00:13

extra cash profit that they really don't know what to do with the dough yeah nice

00:17

place to be in the case of a preferred stock the dividends aren't just a

00:22

optional-ish they operate more like bond interest only with a catch

00:27

that is dividends on preferred stock can in fact be halted without the company

00:32

being repossessed by the debt holders like in the case where the company falls [Prize wheel lands on hard times]

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on hard times or it wants to preserve its cash to buy a competitor or it just

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wants another jet with a water slide thing on it well yeah it can halt its [Person slides down a jet slide]

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dividend in those cases and well there are two types of preferred stock in this

00:50

realm the ones that pay cumulative dividends and the ones that don't

00:54

cleverly named non-cumulative say a company has halted dividends from its

01:00

preferred for three and a half years and it was paying five bucks a quarter in [Dividend distribution graph]

01:05

dividends from those cumulative preferred well if it was to resume

01:09

paying dividends on them it would first have to pay all back fourteen quarters

01:15

worth of dividends before it began to issue more dividends or pay them to its

01:20

preferred holders that is it owed three years times four quarters or twelve

01:26

quarters plus half a year or two quarters for a total of fourteen

01:29

quarters at five bucks a quarter a share that's five times fourteen or seventy [Formula of non-cumulative dividends]

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dollars a share in back cumulative dividends big obligation but it has to

01:38

pay that amount before it can resume dividend payments why would a company

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have a cumulative feature in its preferred dividend obligation well

01:46

because investors forced it to do so or they wouldn't invest they were worried [Person swipes away stacks of money]

01:50

that the preferred dividends might be just some merrily stopped and then the

01:54

investors would have little or no return on their investment in the preferred and

01:58

this can be a problem for companies that have fallen on hard times they are

02:02

essentially made illiquid in that they can't afford to pay the back dividends [Example of illiquid meaning]

02:06

on the preferreds and they can't raise more capital with this blight on their

02:10

record of having stopped paying a divvy well most [Non cumulative stock stickers appear on a table]

02:13

furred stocks are non-cumulative and if companies decide to just stop paying

02:18

them they can but if they do it's kind of like they've reneged on a handshake [Two guys giving a handshake]

02:23

and you know investors talk so like good luck to the company ever trying to raise

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capital again from the cold cruel outside world yeah welcome to Wall

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Street [Wall Street road sign]

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