Price/Growth Flow

  

Categories: Company Valuation

There are two ways a company can entice investment. It can earn a high profit. Or it can offer the promise to earn significant profits down the way.

Think of it like a sports team. You want players who are good now, or you want young prospects who are likely going to be good down the road.

Price growth flow combines the two methods of judging an investment winner. It provides a high score to companies that either post sizable earnings now, or have the prospect of significant breakthroughs in the future, as judged by the current investment in product development. All of this is compared to a company’s current stock price, signifying whether the market has already figured out that the company is a winner.

Start with the company's earnings per share, the basic measure of performance in most corporate earnings statements. Then add that to the firm's R&D per share. That figure is derived from dividing the company's research and development expense (as laid out in its earnings statement) with the number of shares outstanding (another stat you'll find in the quarterly financial documents). That combined total then gets divided by the firm's share price.

A high ratio indicates a company that has high earnings or a high investment in the future (or a relatively high mix of both), compared to the market valuation for the stock.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is Price-to-earnings-to-gr...5 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop what is priced toe earnings to growth

00:06

or a peg ratio You know what the P E

00:10

ratio is right And if you don't I'll check out

00:12

our fine opus on said Subject Here it's him up

00:15

So price here's build a bore Stock trading at forty

00:19

bucks a share It had net income or earnings last

00:22

year of two bucks a share in trades at yes

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twenty times earnings So that's a P and in hee

00:28

price and in earnings there it trades at twenty times

00:31

earnings Um yeah So what does that mean Well if

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it held the earnings flat and basically all of its

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earnings was cash earnings Not like some fancy accounting trick

00:42

Well if earnings were flat for twenty years well the

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company would have made back all of its valuation in

00:48

cash profits and everyone would yawn right Twenty years at

00:52

two bucks a year twenty times two is forty right

00:54

Well that company would have paid up five percent cash

00:57

return yield Right Two bucks in earnings over forty bucks

01:00

a share to over forty in California and in Texas

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is five percent So is that a good return about

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return Was there a lot of risk in that number

01:08

Growth shrinkage Wealth in a peg ratio Earnings growth is

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taken into consideration when evaluating the ratios of a stock

01:17

So twenty times earnings is kind of a ho hum

01:19

multiple But this company has no growth so that twenty

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times is probably a pretty high multiple as a multiple

01:25

You know all things considered like twenty years a long

01:28

time to get all your money back What if earnings

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were doubling each year for the next five years Like

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earnings went from two to four to eight to sixteen

01:35

to thirty two bucks a share Well then twenty times

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earnings was ludicrously cheap Growth was one hundred percent versus

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that zero percent where twenty times earnings Look you know

01:45

decent Well the basic idea and this one is coined

01:47

by Peter Lynch the famed portfolio manager who brought Fidelity

01:51

to fame Is that a peg ratio of one means

01:54

that a stock is basically fairly priced that is P

01:57

E ratios need contexts specifically the context of earnings growth

02:02

The formula takes the P E ratio say it's a

02:04

twenty and then puts it over the annual earnings per

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share growth number and note that it's per share not

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just overall company earnings Like if a company grew earnings

02:15

by acquiring for stock a lot of competitors well it's

02:18

share count would balloon While it's earnings grew fast as

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well but likely the dilution and suffered would mitigate most

02:25

of the upside in earnings growth So on our twenty

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times earnings number a company with no growth gives us

02:30

a peg ratio of twenty over zero which is an

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undefined number But peg ratio is all about how expensive

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the price to earnings ratio is relative to the growth

02:41

of the company Wow we did not see that plot 00:02:45.65 --> [endTime] twist coming yellow

Up Next

Finance: What is the Price-To-Earnings Ratio?
217 Views

What is the price-to-earnings ratio? It's the price of the stock divided by its earnings. Stock price: $14; earnings: $1. The P-E ratio then is 14.

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