Stock Analysis

  

See the "anal" in there. Yeah, you have to be very uptight when you analyze stocks.

But what does stock analysis even really mean? In what form are you analyzing? Fundamentals? Charts? Crystal ball?

Over time, most experts agree that the best valuation metric for stocks over time is their earnings. But...what year's earnings? This year's? Last year's? The earnings three years from now? And what does the company actually do? What does it do that's hard? What does it do that people value and will pay for? Is it in a growth industry, or is it selling paper pulp? How's the company valued relative to the overall market? Are its profit margins going up or down? What will it be doing in n years?

And on and on and on (and on) it goes. That's what the trade is all about. And if you're good, you get paid highly. So, um, go for it.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is Fundamental Analysis?7 Views

00:00

Finance a la shmoop what's the difference between a chartist and a

00:06

fundamental analyst? okay here's Bob the trader no relation to Bob the Builder [Bob the builder appears]

00:12

that is literally his name Bob the trader his parents were bearish on

00:16

social security ever really being there for him so you know Bob the trader was

00:22

their social security sort of how things work in China today they bet the ranch [Ranch appears]

00:26

on Bob and Bob makes bank by trading stocks for silverman slacks Partners on

00:32

Wall Street he makes ten million bucks a year by

00:35

looking at charts and trading patterns like ascending triangles and double [Trading patterns appear on sheets of paper]

00:40

bottoms we cannot lie and triple top like that obB is a chartist and really

00:46

kind of an astrologist too and well just kind of weird but he's rich so people [Bob carrying stacks of money]

00:51

call him eccentric well Bob the trader is basically the opposite of a

00:56

fundamental analyst how so well Bob the trader knows and cares almost nothing

01:01

about the companies behind the stocks he trades, he doesn't know what they do for

01:05

a living or what their earnings are or what they manufacture or what their

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profit margins are or what their gross rates are or who runs them or even how

01:16

you spell their corporate name.... well Bob just knows that this week the

01:21

stock appears to be starting a major break out and he wants to bet big by [Break out appears on grading patterns]

01:26

being long the stock either by owning it or by owning call options with a strike

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price right up around here okay so that's Bob the trader all right now meet

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Izzy the investor and yep you guessed it that's her real name would have been [Isabel as a baby with her parents]

01:39

Isabel but well same deal on the parents and the social security bearishness

01:43

thing..Izzy the investor is her parents social security she too makes ten

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million dollars a year on Wall Street only she makes like three trades a year

01:53

Bob the trader makes that many in an hour

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Izzy the investor is a fundamental analyst or a fundamental investor so she

02:00

makes big bets on a concentrated handful of stocks which then represent the

02:06

investment portfolio she manages and is evaluated again it's like relative to

02:10

some index like the S&P500 five hundred so what does a fundamental

02:13

analyst care about other than having fund she looks at everything that

02:19

comprises real and tangible or meaningful value in a company like all [Man discussing fundamental analysts]

02:24

the stuff we described earlier mainly well, the cash it produces or will

02:28

produce in the future like if she's paying a hundred bucks share for a stock

02:32

what financial returns or value do you get for that stock? ten bucks in real

02:37

cash earnings a six percent dividend how our profit margins are they trending up

02:42

or down? what about revenue growth our revenues

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in fact growing and what about management do they get the biz or are

02:48

they just in the rolls for a you know investment bank or golf well how does

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the company manage its cash does it buy back stock how well does their product

02:56

mesh with the future like are they making operating systems for robots or

03:01

paper and pulp so yeah that's what a fundamental analyst does they pick [Stock transfers to Izzy]

03:06

stocks using the fundamentals that make up the value of the stock and they really

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don't care a whole lot about the charts and yes the key thing is that they get

03:16

down to the fundamentals of what makes a company tick especially if that company [Izzy sitting in office and clock ticks]

03:20

makes clocks for a living

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